Beyond the Event Horizon: Operational Resilience as a Continuous State

Beyond the Event Horizon: Operational Resilience as a Continuous State

Published on March 15, 2026 | By Dr. Alistair Vance | 8 min read

Traditional resilience models are often anchored to disruptive events—a cyberattack, a supply chain failure, a market crash. This reactive, event-driven paradigm is fundamentally flawed. At ResilienceFrame, we propose a radical shift: resilience must be understood and cultivated as a continuous operational condition, not a series of crisis responses.

The Fallacy of Event-Driven Resilience

Framing resilience around specific threats creates blind spots. Organizations become adept at preparing for known, catalogued disasters while remaining vulnerable to the slow, systemic degradations and subtle threshold crossings that truly erode capability. This is akin to fortifying a castle's gates while ignoring the gradual erosion of its foundations.

Our research identifies three critical, often overlooked, dimensions of continuous resilience:

  • Routine Amplification: How daily processes can be designed to inherently absorb variance and stress, strengthening the system through ordinary use.
  • Threshold Awareness: Moving beyond binary "failure" points to map the continuous gradients of performance degradation and recovery capacity.
  • Operational Reframing: Continuously interpreting operational data not just for efficiency, but for signs of latent fragility or emergent robustness.

Building the Continuously Resilient System

The transition requires new metrics. Instead of measuring "time to recover" (TTR), we advocate for tracking "Stability Bandwidth"—the range of operational variance a system can tolerate without procedural or structural change. Another key indicator is "Routine Elasticity," which quantifies how standard procedures adapt under pressure before requiring escalation.

Implementing this framework involves embedding resilience sensors into everyday workflows, fostering a culture of procedural mindfulness, and moving resilience planning from the boardroom annex into the core operational dashboard.

"Resilience is not what you do when the lights go out. It is how you keep the lights from ever flickering."

— Dr. Alistair Vance, Lead Researcher, ResilienceFrame Centre

This approach demystifies resilience, making it a tangible, manageable attribute of daily operations. It is the difference between being "shock-resistant" and being "continuously stable." The goal is not merely to survive disruptions but to evolve an operational fabric so robust that the concept of a 'crisis' is redefined.

Keywords: systemic resilience, operational continuity, threshold theory, routine design

Contact the Research Team: For deeper insights into our Operational Continuity Framework, reach out to the ResilienceFrame Centre at research@resilienceframe.ca.

Prof. Chesley Hammes MD

Prof. Chesley Hammes MD

Lead Researcher & Author

Professor Hammes is the principal author of the ResilienceFrame paper. With over 15 years of experience in systemic risk and operational continuity, his work challenges event-driven definitions of resilience, focusing instead on routines, thresholds, and operational framing. He leads the ResilienceFrame Centre in Toronto.